Texas General Election Polls 2026

Independent Polls in Past Month

POLL DATE SAMPLE PAXTON TALARCIO LEADER Average     44.5% 47.8% Talarico +3.3 Siena/ReconMR 10/05-08 617 LV 44% 48% Talarico +4 Trafalgar (R) 9/28-10/5 3,625 LV 43.6% 47.1% Talarico +4 YouGov 9/28-10/5 3,625 LV 44% 50% Talarico +6 New York Times/Siena 9/21-30 615 LV 45% 51% Talarico +6 Fox News-Beacon/Shaw 9/24-28 1,203 RV 49% 51% Talarico +2 Guidant 9/20-28 800 LV 44% 47% Talarico +3 UMass Lowell 9/18-28 850 LV 45% 45% Even Big Data 9/24-26 698 LV 42% 45% Talarico +3 Texans United for Conservative Majority R) 9/22-24 865 LV 48% 48% Even Texas Public Opinion Research 9/19-22 1,007 LV 44% 49% Talarico +5 NPR/Marist 9/17-20 1,139 RV 44% 50% Talarico +6 Texas Southern University 9/15-19 1,800 LV 46% 47% Talarico +1 Trafalgar Group (R) 9/15-17 1,079 LV 45% 46% Talarico +1 Emerson College/Nexstar Media 9/12-14 1,000 LV 46% 47% Talarico +1 Siena/ReconMR 9/08-11 614 LV 43% 49% Talarico +6 NBC5 Dallas/Telemundo 9/08-10 625 LV 43% 46% Talarico +3

Independent Polls in Past Month

POLL DATE SAMPLE ABBOTT HINOJOSA LEADER Average     47.5% 47.1% Abbott +0.4 Siena/ReconMR 10/05-08 617 LV 48% 47% Abbott +1 YouGov 9/28-10/5 3,625 LV 47% 48% Hinojosa +1 New York Times/Siena 9/21-30 615 LV 46% 49% Hinojosa +4 Guidant 9/20-28 800 LV 46% 44% Abbott +2 UMass Lowell 9/18-28 850 LV 48% 44% Abbott +4 Big Data 9/24-26 698 LV 47% 44% Abbott +3 Texans United for Conservative Majority 9/22-24 865 LV 50% 45% Abbott +5 Texas Public Opinion Research 8/19-22 1,007 LV 50% 46% Abbott +4 NPR/Marist 9/17-20 1,139 RV 46% 49% Hinojosa +3 Texas Southern University 9/15-19 1,800 LV 49% 45% Abbott +4 Emerson College/Nexstar Media 9/12-14 1,000 LV 48% 45% Abbott +3 Siena/ReconMR 9/08-11 614 LV 45% 49% Hinojosa +4

TEXAS POLL — ReconMR/Siena Senate ?? James Talarico: 48% (-1) ?? Ken Paxton: 44% (+1) Governor ?? Greg Abbott (i): 48% (+3) ?? Gina Hinojosa: 47% (-2) 10/5–8 | 617 LV | ±4.4% https://t.co/7g5vTiV9iQ

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 13, 2026