Texas General Election Polls 2026

POLL DATE SAMPLE PAXTON TALARCIO LEADER Insider Advantage 9/8-9 1,200 LV 46% 47% Talarico +1 AARP/Fabrizio/Impact Research 8/30-9/1 895 LV 44% 48% Talarico +4 N+ Univision/YouGov 8/27-9/4 1,000 RV 43% 48% Talarico +5 Texas Public Policy Foundation 8/24-26 1,167 LV 43% 44% Talarico +1 Texas Public Opinion Research 8/21-24 1,000 LV 42% 48% Talarico +6 University of Texas 8/05-13 1,200 RV 39% 42% Talarico +3 Emerson College 8/9-10 1,000 LV 47% 46% Paxton +1 Texas A&M University 7/27-30 619 LV 43% 47% Talarico +4 254 Labs/YouGov 7/15-31 1,001 RV 45% 48% Talarico +3 Wedgewood 7/30-31 800 LV 46% 48% Talarico +2 Texas Southern University 7/27-30 1,200 LV 45% 47% Talarico +2 Fox News 7/23-27 1,006 RV 48% 51% Talarico +3 Texas Public Opinion Research 7/15-17 1,048 LV 40% 45% Talarico +5 A2 Insights 6/23-28 618 LV 46% 48% Talarico +2 New York Times/Siena 6/19-27 656 LV 47% 47% Even Red Eagle/SoCal Strategies 6/21 800 LV 49% 47% Paxton +2 University of Texas 6/05-12 1,200 RV 43% 42% Paxton +1 Texas A&M University 6/01-04 807 LV 46% 46% Even Quantus Insights 6/03-04 800 LV 45% 43% Paxton +2 Texas Public Opinion Research 5/27-28 1,670 LV 44% 47% Talarico +3 Public Policy Polling 5/23-26 673 LV 38% 45% Talarico +7 Texas Southern University 4/22-5/06 1,223 LV 45% 45% Even University of Texas 4/10-20 1,200 RV 34% 42% Talarico +8 Texas Public Opinion Research 4/17-20 1,018 LV 41% 46% Talarico +5 Impact Research - Talarico 3/12-17 900 LV 43% 44% Talarico +1 Senate Majority PAC 3/04-05 576 RV 45% 47% Talarico +2 Average since Primary Election         Talarico +2.3 Average since Primary Runoff         Talarico +1.9 Average in August/September         Talarico +2.7

POLL DATE SAMPLE ABBOTT HINOJOSA LEADER AARP/Fabrizio/Impact Research 8/30-9/1 895 LV 49% 46% Abbott +3 N+ Univision/YouGov 8/27-9/4 1,000 RV 47% 47% Abbott +0 Texas Public Policy Foundation 8/24-26 1,167 LV 47% 46% Abbott +1 Texas Public Opinion Research 8/21-24 1,000 LV 49% 42% Abbott +7 University of Texas 8/05-13 1,200 RV 45% 40% Abbott +5 Emerson College 8/9-10 1,000 LV 48% 45% Abbott +3 GBAO (Pro-Hinojosa) 8/4-9 1,000 LV 49% 48% Abbott +1 Cygnal (Pro-Abbott) 7/29-31 800 LV 49% 46% Abbott +3 Texas A&M University 7/27-30 619 LV 46% 45% Abbott +1 Wedgewood 730-31 800 LV 50% 44% Abbott +6 Texas Southern University 7/27-30 1,200 LV 49% 43% Abbott +6 Fox News 7/23-27 1,006 RV 46% 45% Abbott +1 Texas Public Opinion Research 7/15-17 1,048 LV 45% 42% Abbott +3 New York Times/Siena 6/19-27 656 LV 47% 47% Abbott +6 University of Texas 6/05-12 1,200 RV 47% 40% Abbott +7 Texas A&M University 6/01-04 807 LV 49% 44% Abbott +5 Quantus Insights 6/03-04 800 LV 49% 41% Abbott +8 Texas Public Opinion Research 5/27-28 1,670 LV 46% 41% Abbott +5 Public Policy Polling 5/23-26 673 LV 48% 44% Abbott +4 Texas Southern University 4/22-5/06 1,223 LV 49% 43% Abbott +6 University of Texas 4/10-20 1,200 RV 44% 38% Abbott +6 Texas Public Opinion Research 4/17-20 1,018 LV 48% 43% Abbott +5 Average since Primary Election         Abbott +4.1 Average since Primary Runoff         Abbott +3.2 Average in August/September         Abbott +2.9

AARP (Fabrizio/Impact) poll | 8/30-9/1 LV

Texas statewide races 2026

US Senate
??James Talarico 48%
??Ken Paxton 44%
——
Texas Governor
??Greg Abbott 49% (incumbent)
??Gina Hinojosa 46%

Link to poll: https://t.co/1bPX4COjkh pic.twitter.com/6DgBHj7mFF

— Politics & Poll Tracker ?? (@PollTracker2024) September 10, 2026

TEXAS POLL By YouGov/Univision

SENATE
?? James Talarico: 48%
?? Ken Paxton: 43%
——
GOVERNOR
?? Gina Hinojosa: 47%
?? Greg Abbott: 47%
——
GCB
?? Democrats: 48%
?? Republicans: 46%

8/27-9/4 RVhttps://t.co/vl1JFKKrKT https://t.co/fQQ0fdgg4v pic.twitter.com/ZtFUxTa1xC

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) September 9, 2026