Rogers vs. Olcott Tops Fight Card
in House Races to Watch in Round 1
Capitol Inside
January 21, 2022
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| 1 |
House District 60 - GOP
Glenn Rogers (Inc)
Kit Marshall
Mike Olcott
Lucas Turner |
| 2 |
House District 14 - GOP
John Raney (Inc)
John Harvey Slocum |
| 3 |
House District 150 - GOP
Valoree Swanson (Inc)
Brian Le
Valerie McGilvrey
Debbie Riddle |
| 4 |
House District 62 - GOP
Reggie Smith (Inc)
Shelley Luther |
| 5 |
House District 64 - GOP
Lynn Stucky (Inc)
Andy Hooper |
| 6 |
House District 31 - GOP
Ryan Guillen (Inc)
Alena Berlanga
Mike Monreal |
| 7 |
House District 53 - GOP
Andrew Murr (Inc)
Wes Virdell |
| 8 |
House District 91 - GOP
Stephanie Klick (Inc)
Ben Damico
David Lowe
Anthony Reed
David Silvey |
| 9 |
House District 68 - GOP
David Spiller (Inc)
Craig Carter
Gary Franklin
Mark Middleton |
| 10 |
House District 79 - DEM
Art Fierro (Inc)
Claudia Ordaz Perez (Inc) |
| 11 |
House District 3 - GOP
Cecil Bell Jr. (Inc)
Kelly McDonald |
| 12 |
House District 2 - GOP
Bryan Slaton (Inc)
Clyde Bostwick |
| 13 |
House District 138 - GOP
Lacey Hull (Inc)
Josh Flynn |
| 14 |
House District 5 - GOP
Cole Hefner (Inc)
Dewey Collier |
| 15 |
House District 98 - GOP
Giovanni Capriglione (Inc)
Mitchell Ryan |
| 16 |
House District 11 - GOP
Travis Clardy (Inc)
Greg Caldwell
Rachel Hale
Mark Williams |
| 17 |
House District 6 - GOP
Matt Schaefer (Inc)
Charles Turner |
| 18 |
House District 12 - GOP
Kyle Kacal (Inc)
Ben Bius
Joshua Hamm |
| 19 |
House District 18 - GOP
Ernest Bailes (Inc)
Janis Holt
Steven Missick
Bubba Tullos |
| 20 |
House District 1 - GOP
Gary Vandeaver (Inc)
George Lavender
Ray Null |
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State Rep. Glenn Rogers of Graford could be long gone by the time the Texas Legislature convenes again a year from now as a freshman lawmaker whose fate may have been sealed in a redistricting plan that transformed his seat from rural to suburban when he and fellow Republicans approved it last fall.
Rogers' odds in his first re-election bid in House District 60 appeared to take a plunge this week when Aledo Republican Mike Olcott unveiled a war chest with more than $400,000 at the end of December as the most serious challenger in a field of four in the primary election less than six weeks from now. Olcott loaned his campaign $300,000 to go with more than $124,000 in donations in the past three months according to the report he filed with the Texas Ethics Commission.
Rogers had been no slouch himself in the campaign cash chase - raising nearly a quarter-million dollars from supporters in the second half of 2021. A country veterinarian from a town with less than 700 residents, Rogers overcame a massive financial disadvantage en route to a primary runoff win in 2020 over the son-in-law of the GOP's largest donor in the Lone Star State.
But the playing field was relatively even in terms of the landscape demographics two years ago when Rogers was elected for the first - and quite possibly the last - term in the Texas Capitol's west wing. It's more like Mount Everest now with Olcott's home base in Parker County on the western edge of the Fort Worth as the anchor of HD 60 with nearly 80 percent of its population based.
With two other challengers in Kit Marshall of Aledo and Fort Worth attorney Lance Turner, another overtime duel could on the horizon in Rogers' new district where his home turf of Palo Pinto County accounts for a mere 15 percent of the residents there now.
Based sheerly on the potential for turnover among the ruling Republicans in the lower chamber, the HD 60 race crowns the rankings in the biennial Capitol Inside list of Texas House Races to Watch in the 2022 primary election on March 1.
Rogers has GOP Speaker Dade Phelan and the business establishment in his corner for round one - and he has a winning history as an underdog. But Olcott appears to be an early favorite nonetheless with all of the advantages except incumbency as a former state GOP governing board member who leads the Parker County Conservatives president and will have the far right behind him for the race.
GOP State Rep. John Raney of College Station faces a different kind of threat with John Slocum in a first-round duel in the House race that's rated second based almost exclusively on the name identification that the challenger enjoys as the son of popular former Texas A&M University head football coach R.C. Slocum. With no other candidates on the ballot in House District 14, the bout between Slocum and Raney will be done on March 1.
The same is true for Republican State Reps. Reggie Smith of Sherman, Lynn Stucky of Sanger and Andrew Murr of Junction in primary fights that are ranked in the top 10 as well with Shelley Luther of Tom Bean, Andy Hopper of Decatur and Wes Virdell of Brady as their only foes.
State Rep. Ryan Guillen of Rio Grande City is seeking re-election for the first time as a Republican in a bid for the eleventh term in the primary contest that's currently rated as the sixth hottest House race in the first round in 2022. Guillen appeared to go along behind the scenes with the reconfiguration of his district from blue to red on the new map for voting districts in the lower chamber.
While Guillen faces an uncertain test with Mike Monreal of Floresville carrying the banner for the hard right, the veteran representative who converted to the GOP in December looks to be the smart bet in the primary as the leading fundraiser in 2021 among 28 House Republicans who have foes in round one.
Almost all of nearly $280,000 that Guillen raised in the past year came after the party switch in mid-November. More significant perhaps - Guillen scored contributions of $50,000 from the political action committees for the Texans for Lawsuit Reform and a related group Texans for Responsible Government - a sign that he will be well-armed for his first significant test in two decades' worth of House campaigns. Governor Greg Abbott and Phelan have both invested substantial political capital in Guillen's fate. A third candidate in HD 31 - Alena Berlanga of La Vernia - has the potential to force a runoff that could shift the advantage to Monreal.
more to come ... |
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Glenn Rogers (Inc)
HD 60 - GOP
Contributions: $245,675
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $121,270 |
Mike Olcott (Inc)
HD 60 - GOP
Contributions: $124,245
Campaign Loans: $300,000
Cash Dec 31: $402,770
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John Raney (Inc)
HD 14 - GOP
Contributions: $77,400
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $93,738 |
John Harvey Slocum
HD 14 - GOP
Contributions: $43,601
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $43,601
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Valoree Swanson (Inc)
HD 150 - GOP
Contributions: $167,826
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $154,572 |
Debbie Riddle
HD 150 - GOP
Contributions: $0
Campaign Loans: $50,000
Cash Dec 31: $47,189
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Reggie Smith (Inc)
HD 62 - GOP
Contributions: $110,600
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $132,267 |
Shelley Luther
HD 62 - GOP
Contributions: $53,319
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $10,501
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Lynn Stucky (Inc)
HD 64 - GOP
Contributions: $133,371
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $156,797
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Andy Hopper
HD 64 - GOP
Contributions: $34,445
Campaign Loans: $60,000
Cash: $17,436
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Ryan Guillen (Inc)
HD 31 - GOP
Contributions: $279,995
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $219,784
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Michael Monreal
HD 31 - GOP
Contributions: $38,234
Campaign Loans: $17,000
Cash: $27,048
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Andrew Murr (Inc)
HD 53 - GOP
Contributions: $103,650
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $219,784
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Wes Virdell
HD 53 - GOP
Contributions: $29,193
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash: $13,320
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Stephanie Klick (Inc)
HD 91 - GOP
Contributions: $103,650
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $307,008
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David Lowe
HD 91 - GOP
Contributions: $31,618
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash: $6,771
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David Spiller (Inc)
HD 68 - GOP
Contributions: $132,068
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $127,631
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Mark Middleton
HD 68 - GOP
Contributions: $876
Campaign Loans: $860
Cash: $472
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Art Fierro (Inc)
HD 79 - DEM
Contributions: $54,839
Campaign Loans: $12,000
Cash Dec 31: $16,159
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Claudia Ordaz-Perez
HD 79 - DEM
Contributions: $51,680
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash: $31,379
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Cecil Bell Jr. (Inc)
HD 3 - GOP
Contributions: $60,257
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $45,549 |
Kelly McDonald
HD 3 - GOP
Contributions: $15,205
Campaign Loans: $4,250
Cash Dec 31: $34
|
Bryan Slaton (Inc)
HD 2 - GOP
Contributions: $133,371
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $56,966 |
Clyde Bostick
HD 2 - GOP
Contributions: $6,600
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $4,662
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Lacey Hull (Inc)
HD 138 - GOP
Contributions: $34,069
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $49,187 |
Josh Flynn
HD 138 - GOP
Contributions: $350
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $0
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Cole Hefner (Inc)
HD 5 - GOP
Contributions: $70,062
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $237,331 |
Dewey Collier
HD 5 - GOP
Contributions: $950
Campaign Loans: $7,000
Cash Dec 31: $247
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Gio Capriglione (Inc)
HD 98 - GOP
Contributions: $127,340
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $263,206 |
Mitchell Ryan
HD 98 - GOP
Contributions: $3,950
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $1,932
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Matt Schaefer (Inc)
HD 6 - GOP
Contributions: $37,731
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $25,205 |
Charles Turner
HD 6 - GOP
Contributions: $503
Campaign Loans: $1,000
Cash Dec 31: $519
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Steve Allison (Inc)
HD 121 - GOP
Contributions: $182,102
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $106,105 |
Michael Champion
HD 121 - GOP
Contributions: $0
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $0
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Steve Toth (Inc)
HD 15 - GOP
Contributions: $197,429
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $204,132 |
Maris Blair
HD 15 - GOP
Contributions: $3,569
Campaign Loans: $2,000
Cash Dec 31: $3,437
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Mike Schofield (Inc)
HD 132 - GOP
Contributions: $67,995
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $87,011
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Erik Le
HD 132 - GOP
Contributions: $0
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $0
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Stan Lambert (Inc)
HD 71 - GOP
Contributions: $65,701
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $199,569 |
Samuel Weatherby
HD 71 - GOP
Contributions: $0
Campaign Loans: $0
Cash Dec 31: $0
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Source: Texas Ethics
Commission |
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